The Democratic-Resurgence Myth

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by

Dave Mann

It must be the dog days for political news, because we’ve been inundated recently by opinion columns, analysis pieces — and today a poll — all predicting that Texas is swinging to the Democrats. 

First it was the Economist reading too much into recent developments in Texas politics.

Frank Rich picked up on the Democratic-takeover myth in a recent New York Times column.

Then former Democratic Congressman Martin Frost chimed in with a rosy outlook for Democratic chances in a special election for Kay Bailey’s Senate seat (if that election ever takes place.)

Today it’s a Gallup poll that found more Texans identifying as Democrats (or Democratic-leaning independents) than Republicans. The Dems have a 42-40 percent edge in Texas, according to Gallup (hat tip to Embry, who is rightly skeptical).

The poll looks flawed.

has been with the Observer since 2003. Before that, he worked as a reporter in Fort Worth and Washington, D.C. He was born and raised in Philadelphia. He thinks border collies are the world’s greatest dogs, and believes in the nourishing powers of pickup basketball.

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