Share
  • Digg
  • Reddit
  • Facebook
  • Delicious

Subscribe
Friday, January 23, 2009

House Bill 131: Fudging dropout numbers—redundantly

posted by Reeve Hamilton at 10:16 AM

That which we call a high school diploma by any other name would smell as sweet.

At least, that is the premise behind Rep. Warren Chisum’s House Bill 131, which alters the Texas Education Code so that a student may not be considered as “a dropout or as a student who has failed to attend school,” if that non-attending students has “obtained a high school equivalency certificate (GED).”

“Anyone that has been around schools knows that’s not the real dropout rate,” Chisum says of rates including students who did not complete high school but still passed the General Educational Development test.

“It’s an equivalency,” Chisum points out. “You can do anything with a GED that you can do with a diploma.”

As it happens, not everyone agrees.

Magnum Lofstrom, formerly an assistant professor at the University of Texas at Dallas, has studied the effectiveness of GEDs in Texas and concluded that students with “GEDs do not do as well as traditional high school graduates. They don’t do as well in the labor market or in post-secondary education.”

Squabbles over what “equivalency” means in the real world aside, the truly head-scratching thing about Chisum’s bill is that, when asked if it would effectively change anything, Linda Roska, director of Texas Education Agency’s Division of Accountability Research, says, “No.”

True, students that have not graduated are left out of TEA’s measure of the graduation rate, but those with GEDs are not considered or included in TEA’s official definition of a dropout or in any measurement of the dropout rate.  “They are not dropouts,” says Roska. “They have attained something, and we do want to recognize that.”

Chisum is on target about one thing, though: There are legitimate reasons for concern over Texas’ official education statistics.

“Historically, there has been a tendency to try to define away the dropout numbers,” said Maria Robledo Montecel, director of the Intercultural Development Research Association (IDRA) in San Antonio, which has tracked Texas’ attrition rates with consistent methodology for 23 years and found no improvement in all that time.

“Texas is undoubtedly underreporting dropout rates,” said Lofstrom. “Essentially, you are just hiding a problem that is there.”

Just over two years ago, under pressure, the state put aside its own dubious standards and implemented the measures of the National Center for Education Statistics. The dropout rate more than doubled. The number of GED earners was nearly halved, because Texas had been counting in that statistic any “school leavers” who said they planned to get the equivalency—not those who actually had.

“There are still a number of students unaccounted for,” said Robledo Montecel, whose IDRA has been tracking attrition rates with consistent methodology for 23 years and has found no improvement in all that time.

“There is a need for a quality, reliable, verifiable, and verified data system,” she said. “We need the data and the will to solve the problem.”

Redundantly altering the Texas Education Code so that a group of students continues to be left out of the dropout statistics, as HB 131 would do, only demonstrates a will to put the data further out of reach.

Comments

Until Texas schools will place student enrollment by grade spreadsheets on their web sites showing the last decade of enrollment by grade, and the number of diplomas given each year, something is being hidden.  Such spreadsheets are simple and would cost nothing to post online.  See an example spreadsheet for Dallas ISD and another for all of Texas, both covering 11 years of enrollment numbers, at http://www.studentmotivation.org/dallasisd.htm. Such transparency is the only way we will begin to understand the severity of the dropout crisis in Texas, and in each school district.

Remember the dropout rate below 1% that Houston claimed within the past 10 years?  Then we sent their Superintendent to Washington to run the US Dept of Education as I recall.

A way to cut the dropout rate in half is described, costing $2 per 8th grade student, at http://www.studentmotivation.org.  Students must be focused credibly onto their own futures. They must realize that the only people reliably working on their futures are they themselves.  Nobody else does it for them!

Posted by Bill Betzen  on  02/17/09  at  09:28 PM

Post a Comment

Name:

Email:

Location:

URL:

Remember my personal information

Notify me of follow-up comments?

Submit the word you see below:




Coming to a Texas highway near you: License plate readers

Forrest Wilder | May 29, 2009

Deep in the Senate's version of the massive TXDoT bill is a provision that, if not stripped out in conference committee, will allow local, state and federal law enforcement agencies to install license plate reading cameras on Texas highways. The technology - already in widespread use in surveillance-crazy Britain - is very powerful, enabling the government to automatically photograph the license plates of moving vehicles and check the information against databases. If the system finds a "match," officers can be alerted.
Continue reading »

Get Floor Pass updates via e-mail.

E-mail address:

Senate Bill 690: Trimming the Grassroots

Reeve Hamilton | Apr 10, 2009

Karen Hall’s knees still haven’t recovered from gathering signatures door-to-door for an amendment to Bryan’s city charter. “Democracy is a messy business,” she says, “but we like it.”
Continue reading »

Comments

Read more Bad Bills »

Women to Watch: Rep. Kristi Thibaut, D-Houston

Bob Moser | Feb 04, 2009

After she lost her first campaign for a House seat from Houston in 2006, Kristi Thibaut showed up in Austin anyway. What she encountered, as she lobbied unsuccessfully for lower utility rates with fellow ACORN activists, was almost enough to make her wonder why she'd wanted that seat in the first place.
Continue reading »

3 Comments

Read more Capitol Profiles »

One Weekend a Month, Two Weeks a Year, Five Years in Jail

Forrest Wilder | Apr 22, 2009

Sometimes our legislators don't even know what's in their own bills. This morning, Rep. Dan Flynn (R-Van) discussed his House Bill 1165 before the Defense & Veterans Affairs Committee and it was evident that he hadn't read - or maybe didn't understand - what all was in it.
Continue reading »

4 Comments

Read more Fact Checks »