Cornyn Vulnerable?
May 5th, 2008 at 10:24 am
Democrat Rick Noriega’s campaign for U.S. Senate received a huge boost this morning. A new poll from Rasmussen shows Noriega within four percentage points of Republican incumbent John Cornyn (47 percent to 43 percent). The margin of error is 4 percentage points. (Hat tip to Quorum Report.)
The numbers are sure to change in the six months leading to Election Day. But the poll may help Noriega raise the campaign money he so desperately needs. Cornyn has nearly $9 million on hand – compared to just $329,000 for Noriega, according to their latest campaign filings. To have any chance of pulling the upset in November, Noriega will have to raise about $10 million. He must convince not only big donors in Texas, but perhaps more importantly, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee that Cornyn is beatable. The DSCC will likely decide this summer which races it will endorse as worthy of investment both by the committee and its extensive network of donors.
For Noriega, he couldn’t have asked for anything better than the first sentence of the Rasmussen analysis:
“It’s time to add United States Senator John Cornyn to the list of potentially vulnerable Republican incumbents in Election 2008.”
May 5th, 2008 at 1:22 pm
Sadly, to qualify for DSCC money, Rick will have to kiss up to Joe LIEBERMAN and Chuck SCHUMER who have already annointed Mikal WATTS for this race.
Martin FROST, Matt ANGLE, and Boyd RICHIE are already distancing themselves from his campaign, sucking up to Mikal WATTS, actually.
While Rick has a military background and appeals to military families like mine, he will not be able to run on the same ticket as Barack OBAMA as an anti-war Democrat at the same time the DSCC and the TDP are actually supporting John McCAIN and the 100-year war program of the large donors to both parties.
May 5th, 2008 at 5:41 pm
[…] Observer: Cornyn Vulnerable? Democrat Rick Noriega’s campaign for U.S. Senate received a huge boost this […]
May 6th, 2008 at 3:04 pm
4% points when Cornyn hasn’t spent a dollar yet or even started campaigning. You must be dreaming! 4% is huge for Cornyn and it will only grow between now and November.